Halmstad 0-3 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.6
Over
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.46
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.45
6+
10%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.45
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
15%
5.87
X/2
13%
5.08
X/X
9%
3.92
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.57
2/X
11%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 11% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.27/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.24
-30% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
20.4 Crosses 18.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Degerfors
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.17 xG 1.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
30.03.2025 Halmstad Halmstad 0-5 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
07.10.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
08.04.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
16.10.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 2-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
23.05.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
0-3
AWAY Degerfors
0.29 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
345 Passes 271
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors swept aside Halmstad 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Degerfors found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Halmstad had 54% of the ball to Degerfors's 46%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.29 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Halmstad and 1.67 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Degerfors?

Halmstad 0-3 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halmstad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 37%, draw 28%, Degerfors 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Halmstad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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