KR Reykjavik 3-2 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 12 Apr 2026

KR Reykjavik
3-2 HT 1-0
Keflavik
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2026

KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.3
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-2.8pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.2pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KR Reykjavik v Keflavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 15%
-14% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.62/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.34
-34% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 71%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
27.3 Crosses 12.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Keflavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.44 xG 0.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
342 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2025 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
28.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
15.04.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
15.08.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 0-0 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
16.05.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
26.02.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik edged past Keflavik 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KR Reykjavik and 0.17 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

KR Reykjavik 3-2 Keflavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 70%, draw 17%, Keflavik 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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