KA Akureyri 2-3 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.7pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.82/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.72
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
19.6 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.38 xG 2.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
283 Passes 364
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 34
30 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-2 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
01.06.2025 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
18.08.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
26.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-0 HT 2-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
26.08.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.06.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan squeezed past KA Akureyri 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.50 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

KA Akureyri 2-3 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 43%, draw 29%, Stjarnan 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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