Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stjarnan v KA Akureyri — Team-Based Signals
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Stjarnan
İZL
4-0
HT 1-0
KA Akureyri
İZL
0-3
HT 0-1
KA Akureyri
İZL
Stjarnan 3-2 KA Akureyri — Actual Match Statistics
Stjarnan edged past KA Akureyri 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Stjarnan had 58% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 42%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.36 to 1.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stjarnan and 1.17 for KA Akureyri.
What was the final score of Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Stjarnan 3-2 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 49%, draw 21%, KA Akureyri 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.