First Vienna 2-1 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.39
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
4%
13.0
X/1
8%
5.26
X/2
18%
5.99
X/X
15%
4.6
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
11%
4.15
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
1.65/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.70
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
241 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.1 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-2 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
29.04.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 4-1 HT 3-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
04.10.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 2-4 HT 1-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
24.02.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
06.08.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 2-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
12.05.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 1-0 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
2-1
AWAY Sturm Graz II
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna edged past Sturm Graz II 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day First Vienna made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, First Vienna had 63% of the ball to Sturm Graz II's 37%, shots finished 25-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for First Vienna and 1.83 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?

First Vienna 2-1 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 38%, draw 28%, Sturm Graz II 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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