Stoke City U21 1-0 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.7pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.34
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.4 Crosses 17.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Southampton U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.53 xG 3.06
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
200 Passes 515
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 0-3 HT 0-2 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 INGPL2
08.03.2024 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 5-1 HT 4-1 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 INGPL2-1
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City U21 edged past Southampton U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Southampton U21 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Southampton U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stoke City U21 and 4.00 for Southampton U21.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21?

Stoke City U21 1-0 Southampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 26%, draw 18%, Southampton U21 56%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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