Elazığspor 3-0 Erbaaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-0.6pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.2pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.93/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.19
+8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elazığspor
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Erbaaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
09.03.2025 Elazığspor Elazığspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor T2L-K
26.10.2024 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor T2L-K
27.03.2022 Elazığspor Elazığspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor S3-1
07.11.2021 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Elazığspor Elazığspor S3-1
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor cruised past Erbaaspor 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Elazığspor as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Elazığspor and 1.75 for Erbaaspor.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor?

Elazığspor 3-0 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 65%, draw 16%, Erbaaspor 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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