Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Maldonado v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
4-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
2-1
HT 2-0
Nacional de Football
URU
Deportivo Maldonado 4-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Maldonado saw off Nacional de Football 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Deportivo Maldonado made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 50% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 50%, shots finished 12-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 2.17 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional de Football?
Deportivo Maldonado 4-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 35%, draw 26%, Nacional de Football 39%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5 went the other way.