Juventud vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventud v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Juventud vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Juventud
URU2
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
0-1
HT 0-0
Juventud
URU2
Juventud 1-0 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Juventud edged past Progreso 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventud as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Juventud had 56% of the ball to Progreso's 44%, shots finished 12-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventud had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventud and 0.83 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Juventud vs Progreso?
Juventud 1-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventud vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Juventud 41%, draw 27%, Progreso 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventud), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.