Juventud vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventud v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Juventud vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Juventud
URU2
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
0-1
HT 0-0
Juventud
URU2
1-2
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
Juventud 1-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Juventud and Progreso shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Juventud at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Juventud had 60% of the ball to Progreso's 40%, shots finished 15-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventud had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventud and 1.00 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Juventud vs Progreso?
Juventud 1-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventud vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Juventud 49%, draw 24%, Progreso 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Juventud) went the other way.