Montevideo Wanderers 0-4 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.18/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.16
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY CA River Plate
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
17.05.2025 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
13.10.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
23.06.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-2 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
06.04.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
08.02.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0-4
AWAY CA River Plate
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate cruised past Montevideo Wanderers 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Montevideo Wanderers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 55% of the ball to CA River Plate's 45%, shots finished 18-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.83 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate?

Montevideo Wanderers 0-4 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 41%, draw 28%, CA River Plate 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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