Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.35/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.16
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY CA River Plate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
13.10.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
23.06.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-2 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
06.04.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
08.02.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URUK
20.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1-0
AWAY CA River Plate
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers edged past CA River Plate 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Montevideo Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 46% of the ball to CA River Plate's 54%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 2.00 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate?

Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 42%, draw 28%, CA River Plate 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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