Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Cerro Largo — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 3-1
Cerro Largo
URU
2-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
0-3
HT 0-1
Defensor Sporting
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
Defensor Sporting 3-2 Cerro Largo — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting squeezed past Cerro Largo 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 48% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 52%, shots finished 14-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.83 for Cerro Largo.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo?
Defensor Sporting 3-2 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 44%, draw 31%, Cerro Largo 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.