Danubio 2-0 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.29/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.18
-9% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2025 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
02.11.2024 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
08.07.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-3 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
28.04.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 3-5 HT 1-2 Danubio Danubio URU
16.03.2014 Danubio Danubio 3-1 HT 2-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
2-0
AWAY Miramar Misiones
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio beat Miramar Misiones 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Danubio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Danubio had 64% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 36%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Danubio and 1.40 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Miramar Misiones?

Danubio 2-0 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Danubio 41%, draw 29%, Miramar Misiones 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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