Defensor Sporting vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
2-2
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
Defensor Sporting 1-1 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting and Nacional de Football shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Uruguay - Premier League on 9 Nov 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 38% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 62%, shots finished 8-12.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football lead the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.67 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Nacional de Football?
Defensor Sporting 1-1 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 21%, draw 28%, Nacional de Football 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.