Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Fort Wayne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fort Wayne EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.68/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.23
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
19.1 Crosses 17.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0-1
AWAY Fort Wayne
0.66 xG 0.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
220 Passes 210
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Fort Wayne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fort Wayne squeezed past Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chattanooga Red Wolves at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 53% of the ball to Fort Wayne's 47%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.66 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Fort Wayne?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Fort Wayne in the USA - USL League 1 on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Fort Wayne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 49%, draw 26%, Fort Wayne 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Under 2.5
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