Spokane Velocity 3-1 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.84/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.54
-17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.1 Crosses 14.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.21 xG 0.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
357 Passes 363
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
19.05.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 1-0 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
21.04.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-2 HT 0-1 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
17.03.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 2-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
3-1
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.44 xG 0.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
396 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity saw off Richmond Kickers 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spokane Velocity as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 58% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 42%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.44 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spokane Velocity had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spokane Velocity and 0.25 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers?

Spokane Velocity 3-1 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 48%, draw 26%, Richmond Kickers 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spokane Velocity), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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