Union Omaha 1-0 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.75/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.40
+21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.2 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-0 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
08.06.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
04.05.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
04.08.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
21.06.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
15.10.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
1-0
AWAY Forward Madison
1.42 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
455 Passes 301
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha edged past Forward Madison 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Omaha had 57% of the ball to Forward Madison's 43%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.42 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Omaha and 0.67 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Forward Madison?

Union Omaha 1-0 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 55%, draw 22%, Forward Madison 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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