Lazio vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
0-2
HT 0-0
Lazio
İTA
2-2
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
3-3
HT 1-2
Empoli
İTA
1-3
HT 1-3
Lazio
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
Lazio 2-0 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio beat Empoli 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Lazio had 60% of the ball to Empoli's 40%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.72 to 1.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lazio and 1.00 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Empoli?
Lazio 2-0 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lazio 51%, draw 28%, Empoli 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.