Juventus 1-1 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
67%
1.18
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Juventus win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
79%
-12.0pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.6pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+17.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-17.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -6%
1.99/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.01
-10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
536 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
22.1 Crosses 12.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Salernitana
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.22 xG 0.79
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
535 Passes 310
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Salernitana Salernitana 1-2 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
04.01.2024 Juventus Juventus 6-1 HT 2-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTK
07.02.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 0-3 HT 0-2 Juventus Juventus İTA
11.09.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 0-2 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
20.03.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTA
30.11.2021 Salernitana Salernitana 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
1-1
AWAY Salernitana
2.30 xG 0.78
67% Ball Possession 33%
25 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
444 Passes 186
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus and Salernitana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Juventus carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Juventus had 67% of the ball to Salernitana's 33%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 2.30 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Juventus and 0.67 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Salernitana?

Juventus 1-1 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie A on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Juventus 67%, draw 21%, Salernitana 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
12 May 2024
13:30 Lazio vs Empoli Analysis →
16:00 Hellas Verona vs Torino Analysis →
16:00 Genoa vs Sassuolo Analysis →
21:45 Atalanta vs Roma Analysis →