Express 3-2 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 12 May 2026

📅12/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Express EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 59%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.07/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.46
+40% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +48%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
234 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Express
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kitara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.01.2026 Kitara Kitara 1-0 HT 0-0 Express Express UGA
21.12.2024 Kitara Kitara 7-0 HT 3-0 Express Express UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Express
3-2
AWAY Kitara
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Express vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Express nicked a narrow win over Kitara 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kitara at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Express had 47% of the ball to Kitara's 53%, shots finished 11-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kitara led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Express and 4.00 for Kitara.

What was the final score of Express vs Kitara?

Express 3-2 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Express vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Express 25%, draw 27%, Kitara 48%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kitara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
12 May 2026
16:00 BUL vs Lugazi Municipal Analysis →
16:00 Uganda Police vs Vipers Analysis →
17:00 URA vs Calvary Analysis →