BUL 0-0 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 12 May 2026

📅12/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.49
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.67
Over 2.5
57%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
63%
+2.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
56%
-12.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
44%
+12.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 18%
-20% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.13/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.56
-34% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 0
27.01.2026 Lugazi Municipal 2-1 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
29.04.2025 BUL BUL 4-0 HT 1-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
03.01.2025 Lugazi Municipal 1-2 HT 1-1 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
0-0
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BUL vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL and Lugazi Municipal played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had BUL at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BUL had 59% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 41%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, BUL had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for BUL and 1.00 for Lugazi Municipal.

What was the final score of BUL vs Lugazi Municipal?

BUL 0-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split BUL 65%, draw 18%, Lugazi Municipal 17%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✗ Over 2.5
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