Lugazi Municipal 2-1 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.1pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.0pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 43%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.36
-100% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugazi Municipal
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BUL
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 0
29.04.2025 BUL BUL 4-0 HT 1-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
03.01.2025 Lugazi Municipal 1-2 HT 1-1 BUL BUL UGA
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugazi Municipal edged past BUL 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 34% / 40% — and on the day Lugazi Municipal made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, BUL led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lugazi Municipal and 3.00 for BUL.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs BUL?

Lugazi Municipal 2-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated an BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 26%, draw 34%, BUL 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BUL), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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