Vipers 4-1 Uganda Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.75/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.08
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Uganda Police
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Uganda Police Uganda Police 0-1 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
25.10.2024 Vipers Vipers 2-1 HT 1-1 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
17.10.2021 Uganda Police Uganda Police 0-2 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
4-1
AWAY Uganda Police
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vipers vs Uganda Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers swept aside Uganda Police 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vipers had 58% of the ball to Uganda Police's 42%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vipers had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vipers and 0.33 for Uganda Police.

What was the final score of Vipers vs Uganda Police?

Vipers 4-1 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs Uganda Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vipers 59%, draw 23%, Uganda Police 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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