Kampala City vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kampala City v UPDF — Team-Based Signals
Kampala City vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Kampala City
UGA
Kampala City cruised past UPDF 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kampala City and 0.25 for UPDF.
What was the final score of Kampala City vs UPDF?
Kampala City 4-0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kampala City vs UPDF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 64%, draw 20%, UPDF 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.