Northern Virginia vs Patuxent Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northern Virginia v Patuxent — Team-Based Signals
Northern Virginia vs Patuxent Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Patuxent
USL2
Northern Virginia ran out comfortable winners over Patuxent 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Northern Virginia as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Northern Virginia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Northern Virginia and 2.00 for Patuxent.
What was the final score of Northern Virginia vs Patuxent?
Northern Virginia 4-1 Patuxent in the USA - USL League 2 on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northern Virginia vs Patuxent?
Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Northern Virginia 64%, draw 19%, Patuxent 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Virginia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.