Göteborg 1-2 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.5
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.58
X/2
13%
6.16
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
11%
4.08
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.0
Value flag · 2/X at 13.0 — our 11% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.16/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.49
-30% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
23.7 Crosses 20.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.76 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
292 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
01.06.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
30.10.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-2 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
16.07.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
03.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-3 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
22.05.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-2
AWAY Elfsborg
1.11 xG 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
289 Passes 281
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 25
32 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg edged past Göteborg 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Elfsborg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Göteborg had 52% of the ball to Elfsborg's 48%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.11 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Göteborg and 2.00 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Elfsborg?

Göteborg 1-2 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 37%, draw 31%, Elfsborg 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Göteborg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göteborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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