Malmö FF 3-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 Jul 2025

Malmö FF
3-1 HT 1-0
Norrköping
📅12/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Malmö FF vs Norrköping Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.03
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.03 — our 24% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.48
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
21.8
X/1
19%
3.84
X/2
5%
20.15
X/X
13%
8.27
2/1
8%
21.95
2/2
4%
17.35
2/X
9%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.5pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.4pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v Norrköping — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.89/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.69
+6% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +1%
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
22.7 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Malmö FF vs Norrköping Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Norrköping
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.36 xG 0.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
428 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
30.03.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-5 HT 0-3 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
10.03.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-2 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇK
29.10.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
24.04.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
11.09.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ

Malmö FF 3-1 Norrköping — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
3-1
AWAY Norrköping
2.36 xG 2.23
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
393 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
48 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF saw off Norrköping 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 48% of the ball to Norrköping's 52%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.36 to 2.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Malmö FF and 0.83 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Norrköping?

Malmö FF 3-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 57%, draw 26%, Norrköping 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
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