Macara 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.74
Over
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.84
No
55%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
35%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle The Market 50%
-17% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.08/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.01
-37% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.6 Crosses 13.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.67 xG 1.96
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
188 Passes 476
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
24.11.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 7-0 HT 6-0 Macara Macara EKV1
26.05.2024 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
25.09.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
10.05.2022 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.08.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 4-0 HT 2-0 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
1-2
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.99 xG 1.58
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
132 Passes 363
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Macara vs Independiente Del Valle
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Del Valle squeezed past Macara 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Independiente Del Valle made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Macara had 33% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 67%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.99 to 1.58.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Macara and 2.50 for Independiente Del Valle.

Macara vs Independiente Del Valle Result & Final Score

Macara 1-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Macara vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Macara 34%, draw 26%, Independiente Del Valle 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
12 Jul 2025
22:00 Manta vs Uni. Catolica Analysis →