Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-3 Tochigi City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.83/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.46/0.51
-33% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +132%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 8.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tochigi City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
154 Passes 103
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 0
08.06.2025 Tochigi City Tochigi City 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-3
AWAY Tochigi City
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
214 Passes 116
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tochigi City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City beat Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tochigi City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 40% of the ball to Tochigi City's 60%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tochigi City?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-3 Tochigi City in the Japan - J3 League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tochigi City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 30%, draw 27%, Tochigi City 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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