Sagamihara 0-1 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +25%
1.03/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.26
-28% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 12.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fukushima United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
252 Passes 414
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2025 Fukushima United Fukushima United 3-3 HT 2-2 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
27.10.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-3 HT 1-3 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
13.04.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
24.09.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
12.03.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
30.08.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-3 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
0-1
AWAY Fukushima United
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United edged past Sagamihara 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sagamihara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sagamihara had 54% of the ball to Fukushima United's 46%, shots finished 19-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sagamihara and 1.67 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Fukushima United?

Sagamihara 0-1 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 42%, draw 29%, Fukushima United 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sagamihara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
12 Jul 2025
12:00 Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club Analysis →
12:00 Azul Claro Numazu vs Kagoshima United Analysis →
12:00 Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC Analysis →
12:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tochigi City Analysis →
12:00 Osaka vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Analysis →
12:00 Kochi United vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →