Kamatamare Sanuki 4-1 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.71/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.51
-42% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses 27.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tochigi SC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
250 Passes 342
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
17.05.2015 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki
4-1
AWAY Tochigi SC
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
313 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kamatamare Sanuki ran out comfortable winners over Tochigi SC 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tochigi SC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kamatamare Sanuki had 50% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 50%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tochigi SC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kamatamare Sanuki and 0.50 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?

Kamatamare Sanuki 4-1 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J3 League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kamatamare Sanuki 26%, draw 32%, Tochigi SC 42%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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