Matsumoto Yamaga 3-0 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +3%
1.45/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.40
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 9.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Nara Club
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
313 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2025 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
29.09.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 1-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
13.04.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 2-2 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
02.12.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
05.03.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-2 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
3-0
AWAY Nara Club
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga ran out comfortable winners over Nara Club 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Matsumoto Yamaga as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 37% of the ball to Nara Club's 63%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nara Club led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.20 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club?

Matsumoto Yamaga 3-0 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 44%, draw 26%, Nara Club 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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