Throttur Vogar 5-1 KFG Gardabar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
59%
+6.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
15%
Away Win
20%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Vogar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.68/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/2.56
-37% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Vogar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY KFG Gardabar
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2026 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 3-1 HT 1-0 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
30.07.2025 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 4-3 HT 2-2 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
23.05.2025 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 2-1 HT 0-1 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
31.07.2024 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 3-3 HT 0-2 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
23.05.2024 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 1-0 HT 0-0 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
16.09.2023 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 2-4 HT 2-2 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
POST-MATCH Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Vogar swept aside KFG Gardabar 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Throttur Vogar as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Throttur Vogar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Throttur Vogar and 2.17 for KFG Gardabar.

What was the final score of Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabar?

Throttur Vogar 5-1 KFG Gardabar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Vogar vs KFG Gardabar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Vogar win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Throttur Vogar 66%, draw 19%, KFG Gardabar 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Throttur Vogar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Throttur Vogar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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