Tobol 3-1 Okzhetpes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
48%
+8.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.45/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.11
+10% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Okzhetpes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
21.06.2026 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 2-1 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
13.07.2025 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 0-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
05.04.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.07.2023 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
28.05.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-2 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
24.11.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
FAQ Tobol vs Okzhetpes
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Tobol beat Okzhetpes 3-1 in the Kazakistan - Super League on 12 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tobol and 0.67 for Okzhetpes.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Okzhetpes?

Tobol 3-1 Okzhetpes in the Kazakistan - Super League on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Okzhetpes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tobol 56%, draw 21%, Okzhetpes 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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