Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.54/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.54
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cerro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2026 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
24.08.2025 Cerro Cerro 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
25.05.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
22.02.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
30.11.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
21.07.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-2
AWAY Cerro
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro edged past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.00 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 57%, draw 24%, Cerro 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5
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