Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro edged past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 13-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.00 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 57%, draw 24%, Cerro 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.