Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.16/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.42
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Progreso
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2026 Progreso Progreso 2-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
21.09.2025 Progreso Progreso 2-0 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
28.03.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Progreso Progreso URU
10.11.2024 Progreso Progreso 0-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
14.07.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 4-2 HT 2-1 Progreso Progreso URU
04.05.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Progreso Progreso URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2-0
AWAY Progreso
15 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Montevideo Wanderers beat Progreso 2-0 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 15-20.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.17 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso?

Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 44%, draw 30%, Progreso 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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12 Jul 2026
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