Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
Progreso 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso edged past Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-0.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Progreso had 40% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 60%, shots finished 9-12.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 1.33 for Montevideo Wanderers.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Progreso 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Progreso 39%, draw 26%, Montevideo Wanderers 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.