Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso beat Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21 Sep 2025.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Progreso had 55% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 45%, shots finished 10-12.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 1.67 for Montevideo Wanderers.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Progreso 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Progreso 43%, draw 24%, Montevideo Wanderers 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.