Cerro 1-0 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.99/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.01
-17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
05.10.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
15.06.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
31.03.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-2 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
01.10.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
15.08.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 4-1 HT 3-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-0
AWAY Miramar Misiones
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro squeezed past Miramar Misiones 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cerro found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cerro had 33% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 67%, shots finished 2-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miramar Misiones led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro and 1.50 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Miramar Misiones?

Cerro 1-0 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated an Miramar Misiones win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cerro 32%, draw 29%, Miramar Misiones 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Miramar Misiones), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miramar Misiones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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