Miramar Misiones 1-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.1pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.2pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.96/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.26
-21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
15.06.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
31.03.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-2 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
01.10.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
15.08.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 4-1 HT 3-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
20.04.2014 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-1
AWAY Cerro
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones and Cerro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 49% of the ball to Cerro's 51%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miramar Misiones had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Miramar Misiones and 1.00 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Cerro?

Miramar Misiones 1-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 33%, draw 29%, Cerro 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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28 Mar 2025
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