CA River Plate 2-3 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
1.17/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.78
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.03.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
01.12.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
29.07.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-2 HT 0-2 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
03.09.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
19.02.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
18.09.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 1-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
2-3
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ CA River Plate vs Racing Club Montevideo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Racing Club Montevideo edged past CA River Plate 3-2 away from home in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21 Sep 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CA River Plate had 57% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 43%, shots finished 11-10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo lead the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CA River Plate and 1.00 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Racing Club Montevideo?

CA River Plate 2-3 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 30%, draw 31%, Racing Club Montevideo 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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