Frosinone 0-3 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.96
6+ Goals
12%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
12%
4.95
X/2
12%
6.6
X/X
11%
4.07
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.82
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.56/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.56
-38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
7.0 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pisa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 293
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTK
06.05.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-3 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
11.12.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
06.05.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 1-2 HT 0-2 Pisa Pisa İTB
15.01.2022 Pisa Pisa 1-3 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
01.05.2021 Frosinone Frosinone 3-1 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
0-3
AWAY Pisa
0.23 xG 1.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
406 Passes 250
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa cruised past Frosinone 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Pisa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Frosinone had 60% of the ball to Pisa's 40%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.23 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Frosinone and 0.83 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Pisa?

Frosinone 0-3 Pisa in the Italy - Cup on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 40%, draw 27%, Pisa 32%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ BTTS Yes
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