KTP Kotka 2-1 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.49
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
21%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.5pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.9pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.60/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.00
+18% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
4W-0D-1L
AWAY PK-35 ry
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
28.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-5 HT 1-4 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
02.03.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-4 HT 0-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINYK
03.09.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 0-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
22.06.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
2-1
AWAY PK-35 ry
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka edged past PK-35 ry 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 63% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 37%, shots finished 21-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.00 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs PK-35 ry?

KTP Kotka 2-1 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 53%, draw 25%, PK-35 ry 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ BTTS No
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