SJK Seinajoki 3-1 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Aug 2024

SJK Seinajoki
3-1 HT 2-0
VPS
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

SJK Seinajoki vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.29
Over 2.5
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
34%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.53
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 30.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.44
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
7%
4.6
X/2
10%
8.09
X/X
12%
5.75
2/1
6%
21.15
2/2
16%
5.32
2/X
6%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
40%
-3.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
60%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SJK Seinajoki v VPS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
1.46/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.32
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.9 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

SJK Seinajoki vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VPS
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
390 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.06.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 5-1 HT 2-1 VPS VPS FİK
12.04.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
27.01.2024 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
21.10.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
09.08.2023 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
08.06.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-1 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN

SJK Seinajoki 3-1 VPS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3-1
AWAY VPS
4.15 xG 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
344 Passes 350
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki saw off VPS 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 49% of the ball to VPS's 51%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 4.15 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.67 for VPS.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

SJK Seinajoki 3-1 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 44%, draw 25%, VPS 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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