Swansea City vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swansea City v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Swansea City vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Swansea City
HAZ
2-3
HT 1-1
Swansea City
İNLK
Swansea City 3-1 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City saw off Crawley Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Swansea City had 61% of the ball to Crawley Town's 39%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.72 to 0.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Swansea City and 2.00 for Crawley Town.
What was the final score of Swansea City vs Crawley Town?
Swansea City 3-1 Crawley Town in the England - League Cup on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Crawley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 63%, draw 19%, Crawley Town 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.