Stockport County 3-1 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 12 Aug 2025

📅12/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.66
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
17.25
X/1 EV+ ✓
30%
3.98
X/2
5%
14.55
X/X
7%
7.07
2/1
12%
20.5
2/2
5%
11.7
2/X
4%
19.75
Value flag · X/1 at 3.98 — our 30% vs market 19.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
Crosses 13.6
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
285 Passes 211
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 1-3 HT 1-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
24.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-2 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
31.01.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
26.12.2022 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
30.04.2011 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
11.12.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 3-3 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
3-1
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.67 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County beat Crewe Alexandra 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Stockport County had 56% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 44%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.67 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stockport County and 1.50 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Crewe Alexandra?

Stockport County 3-1 Crewe Alexandra in the England - League Cup on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 66%, draw 20%, Crewe Alexandra 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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