Stockport County 1-3 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Feb 2024

Stockport County
1-3 HT 1-2
Crewe Alexandra
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Stockport County vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.65
X/1
16%
3.64
X/2
7%
11.25
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.05
2/2
10%
8.86
2/X
7%
17.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.05 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.79/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.56
-4% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 74%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.7 Crosses 14.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Stockport County vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 0.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
264 Passes 229
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-2 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
31.01.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
26.12.2022 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
30.04.2011 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
11.12.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 3-3 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
01.09.2009 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-4 HT 0-3 Stockport County Stockport County İNTK

Stockport County 1-3 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
1-3
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.39 xG 0.70
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
348 Passes 157
73% Pass Accuracy 56%
11 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra beat Stockport County 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Stockport County had 63% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 37%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Stockport County.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stockport County and 1.17 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Crewe Alexandra?

Stockport County 1-3 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 53%, draw 24%, Crewe Alexandra 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockport County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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