Wrexham 3-3 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 12 Aug 2025

Wrexham
3-3 HT 1-1
Hull City
📅12/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - League Cup – 2025/2026

Wrexham vs Hull City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.7
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
9%
6.41
X/2
17%
5.04
X/X
10%
4.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.25
2/X
11%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Hull City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 45%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.46
-100% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
– Crosses 17.7
– Yellow Cards 0.7

Wrexham vs Hull City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Hull City
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
The Meetings
19.02.2005 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
30.10.2004 Wrexham Wrexham 2-2 HT 2-1 Hull City Hull City İN1
05.04.2003 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
30.11.2002 Wrexham Wrexham 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İN2

Wrexham 3-3 Hull City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
3-3
AWAY Hull City
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
256 Passes 482
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham and Hull City shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wrexham had 38% of the ball to Hull City's 62%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Wrexham and 1.25 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Hull City?

Wrexham 3-3 Hull City in the England - League Cup on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 32%, draw 26%, Hull City 42%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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