Gillingham 1-1 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 12 Aug 2025

📅12/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
8%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.2
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
14%
5.67
X/2
8%
5.35
X/X
14%
3.92
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.85
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.23/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.00
-24% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +68%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.9 Crosses 25.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
4W-0D-2L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.80 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
221 Passes 252
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
30.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
12.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
28.11.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
25.02.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-1 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
09.08.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-2 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-1
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
206 Passes 224
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham and AFC Wimbledon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Gillingham had 50% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 50%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gillingham and 0.67 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon?

Gillingham 1-1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - League Cup on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 38%, draw 28%, AFC Wimbledon 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gillingham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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